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Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China

Received: 1 July 2016     Published: 5 July 2016
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Abstract

In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.

Published in Science Discovery (Volume 4, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
Page(s) 183-188
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2016. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Regression Analysis, Mann-Kendall Test, Precipitation, Trend Test, Variation

References
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  • APA Style

    Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. (2016). Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Science Discovery, 4(3), 183-188. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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    ACS Style

    Hou Kai; Li Yabin; Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci. Discov. 2016, 4(3), 183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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    AMA Style

    Hou Kai, Li Yabin, Qian Hui. Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China. Sci Discov. 2016;4(3):183-188. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15

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  • @article{10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15,
      author = {Hou Kai and Li Yabin and Qian Hui},
      title = {Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China},
      journal = {Science Discovery},
      volume = {4},
      number = {3},
      pages = {183-188},
      doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20160403.15},
      abstract = {In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.},
     year = {2016}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Analysis of Precipitation Variation and Trend Forecast in Huashan Area of China
    AU  - Hou Kai
    AU  - Li Yabin
    AU  - Qian Hui
    Y1  - 2016/07/05
    PY  - 2016
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
    DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
    T2  - Science Discovery
    JF  - Science Discovery
    JO  - Science Discovery
    SP  - 183
    EP  - 188
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2331-0650
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.15
    AB  - In order to mitigate the adverse effects of drought, floods and other natural disasters on agriculture, and to provide a reliable climate foundation for agricultural structure adjustment, spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain needs further research and exploration. This paper based on rainfall data from 1964 to 2013 Shaanxi Huashan station (57046) weather station, using regression analysis and Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, systematically and comprehensively analyzed spatial and temporal variation of precipitation in Huashan Mountain for nearly 50 years. The results showed that: from 1964 to 2013, the mean annual precipitation in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province generally presented a declining trend, and declined significantly. The average monthly rainfall of Huashan area in summer and autumn was higher than the rainfall in spring and winter over the last 50 years. As to the rainy month changes, rainfall from March to April and September to October represented significantly declining in Huashan area of Shaanxi Province, but from January to February, May to August, and November to December rainfall decreased slowly. In spring and autumn, variation trend of rainfall was clear in downward trend; while in summer and winter, variation trend of rainfall is not obvious in downward trend as well.
    VL  - 4
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China

  • Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China

  • Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University College, Shanxi Xi'an, China

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